Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006895 0.007720 0.008621 0.009678 0.010888 0.012235 0.013850
2025-03-09 0.005513 0.006618 0.007926 0.009595 0.011687 0.014240 0.017621
2025-03-16 0.004605 0.005778 0.007239 0.009212 0.011835 0.015245 0.020083
2025-03-23 0.004088 0.005316 0.006912 0.009167 0.012320 0.016645 0.023157
2025-03-30 0.003848 0.005168 0.006949 0.009572 0.013414 0.018959 0.027796
2025-04-06 0.003435 0.004731 0.006534 0.009280 0.013455 0.019733 0.030222
2025-04-13 0.003104 0.004372 0.006184 0.009028 0.013502 0.020490 0.032685
2025-04-20 0.002885 0.004152 0.006009 0.009008 0.013886 0.021794 0.036209
2025-04-27 0.002773 0.004078 0.006040 0.009303 0.014794 0.024042 0.041686
2025-05-04 0.002599 0.003891 0.005878 0.009267 0.015138 0.025366 0.045676
2025-05-11 0.002463 0.003753 0.005780 0.009321 0.015635 0.027005 0.050505
2025-05-18 0.002310 0.003575 0.005599 0.009215 0.015831 0.028105 0.054422
2025-05-25 0.002206 0.003474 0.005547 0.009343 0.016496 0.030237 0.060987
2025-06-01 0.002075 0.003318 0.005392 0.009276 0.016795 0.031709 0.066450
2025-06-08 0.001906 0.003088 0.005089 0.008906 0.016464 0.031856 0.068929
2025-06-15 0.001806 0.002967 0.004967 0.008863 0.016772 0.033370 0.074911
2025-06-22 0.001779 0.002971 0.005068 0.009252 0.018004 0.037049 0.086981
2025-06-29 0.001658 0.002801 0.004838 0.008972 0.017794 0.037476 0.090776
2025-07-06 0.001553 0.002652 0.004637 0.008729 0.017641 0.038011 0.094971
2025-07-13 0.001486 0.002566 0.004549 0.008710 0.017976 0.039747 0.102893
2025-07-20 0.001460 0.002557 0.004605 0.008994 0.019027 0.043387 0.117209
2025-07-27 0.001398 0.002476 0.004515 0.008959 0.019334 0.045199 0.126436
2025-08-03 0.001350 0.002418 0.004467 0.009011 0.019854 0.047643 0.138287